Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.031829 0.036949 0.042584 0.049240 0.056881 0.065373 0.075520
2025-11-23 0.024550 0.031334 0.039484 0.049971 0.063084 0.078912 0.099438
2025-11-30 0.020714 0.028679 0.038992 0.053263 0.072434 0.097225 0.131637
2025-12-07 0.017023 0.025339 0.036843 0.053814 0.078091 0.111422 0.160485
2025-12-14 0.013735 0.021835 0.033732 0.052324 0.080455 0.121192 0.184351
2025-12-21 0.011518 0.019435 0.031710 0.051912 0.084052 0.132851 0.212070
2025-12-28 0.010456 0.018608 0.031874 0.054731 0.092744 0.152913 0.254604
2026-01-04 0.009338 0.017473 0.031323 0.056231 0.099400 0.170414 0.294977
2026-01-11 0.007925 0.015572 0.029174 0.054675 0.100662 0.179160 0.321835
2026-01-18 0.006910 0.014214 0.027752 0.054133 0.103495 0.190688 0.354451
2026-01-25 0.005946 0.012787 0.025982 0.052671 0.104408 0.198841 0.381838
2026-02-01 0.005221 0.011713 0.024714 0.051953 0.106546 0.209296 0.414327
2026-02-08 0.004664 0.010910 0.023892 0.052053 0.110369 0.223475 0.455710
2026-02-15 0.004055 0.009893 0.022489 0.050774 0.111289 0.232216 0.487633
2026-02-22 0.003824 0.009688 0.022770 0.053071 0.119809 0.256751 0.553337
2026-03-01 0.003444 0.009071 0.022060 0.053108 0.123536 0.271981 0.601728
2026-03-08 0.002995 0.008206 0.020658 0.051392 0.123214 0.278743 0.633137
2026-03-15 0.002680 0.007621 0.019825 0.050868 0.125473 0.291181 0.677881
2026-03-22 0.002581 0.007588 0.020318 0.053571 0.135479 0.321497 0.764738
2026-03-29 0.002422 0.007363 0.020299 0.055010 0.142656 0.346200 0.841453
2026-04-05 0.002137 0.006736 0.019161 0.053472 0.142423 0.353963 0.880217
2026-04-12 0.001930 0.006296 0.018449 0.052934 0.144600 0.367533 0.933845
2026-04-19 0.001711 0.005779 0.017453 0.051499 0.144307 0.375162 0.974027